Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 20, 2023 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
We said: Benfica 2-0 Boavista
While Boavista will be looking to find their feet this weekend, they face a rampant Benfica side who are currently firing on all cylinders. As Aguias have been imperious in the history of this fixture and we are tipping them to extend their dominance over the visitors.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.83% . A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 6.52% .
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.31%) and 1-0 (8.89%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%) , while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.17%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result Benfica Draw Boavista 80.83% ( 0.31) 12.65% ( -0.19) 6.52% ( -0.12)
Both teams to score 45.91% ( 0.02)
66.71% ( 0.41) 33.29% ( -0.42)
44.94% ( 0.47) 55.05% ( -0.47)
93.68% ( 0.14) 6.32% ( -0.15)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 76.24% ( 0.4) 23.76% ( -0.4)
49.01% ( -0.06) 50.99% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 14.67% ( -0.04) 85.33% ( 0.03)
Benfica 80.83%
Boavista 6.52%
Draw 12.65%
Benfica Draw Boavista 2-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.57% 6-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.51% Total : 80.83% 1-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.65% 0-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 6.52%
How you voted: Benfica vs Boavista
83
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 05:27:11
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