Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Chaves |
37.7% ( -0.48) | 27.37% ( 0.19) | 34.93% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.67% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.1% ( -0.73) | 55.9% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% ( -0.6) | 77.01% ( 0.6) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.33% ( -0.64) | 28.67% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.52% ( -0.8) | 64.48% ( 0.8) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% ( -0.18) | 30.37% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.44% ( -0.21) | 66.56% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
14 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |