Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
42.39% ( -0.81) | 28.56% ( 0.46) | 29.05% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 44.58% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.53% ( -1.39) | 61.47% ( 1.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.66% ( -1.04) | 81.34% ( 1.05) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% ( -1.1) | 28.69% ( 1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% ( -1.4) | 64.51% ( 1.4) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.52% ( -0.47) | 37.48% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.74% ( -0.47) | 74.26% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.6% Total : 42.39% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.73% Total : 29.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
14 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |