Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Nacional
Belenenses2 - 3Boavista
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Belenenses and Boavista.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belenenses 4-0 Machico
Thursday, November 10 at 11am in Taca de Portugal
Thursday, November 10 at 11am in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Boavista 1-4 Porto
Saturday, November 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, November 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Boavista |
26.62% ( 0.5) | 26.01% ( -0.35) | 47.36% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.2% ( 1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
