Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Dec 8, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
0 - 2
Porto

Euller (51'), Singh (54'), Vitoria (70'), Guimaraes (82'), Hernandez (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Loader (55', 59')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca da Liga clash between Chaves and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Chaves
Tuesday, November 22 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-2 Mafra
Friday, November 25 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto will be looking to quickly get their cup campaign back on track following their somewhat disappointing result against Mafra. The Dragoes will draw inspiration from their current away form as they have picked up six wins and two draws from their last eight games on the road. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Porto to claim all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Porto
18.27% ( 0.82)	23.31% ( 0.34)	58.42% ( -1.15)

Both teams to score 47.89% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65% (

-0.12)

51.35% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83% (

-0.1)

73.17% (

0.11)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.91% (

0.92)

42.09% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.49% (

0.78)

78.51% (

-0.77)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.7% (

-0.44)

17.3% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.34% (

-0.79)

47.66% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Chaves 18.27%

Porto 58.41%

Draw 23.31%

Chaves	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.86% Total : 18.27%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.31%	0-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 11.2% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.55% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 58.41%