Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Porto4 - 0Pacos de Ferreira
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Atletico
Tuesday, November 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Tuesday, November 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-1 Maritimo
Friday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Porto 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Porto will be licking their lips as they take on a floundering Pacos de Ferreira side who have endured a horrid start to the campaign. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are tipping the Dragoes to ease to a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
75.4% ( 0.15) | 15.9% ( -0.08) | 8.7% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.95% ( 0.21) | 41.05% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.56% ( 0.21) | 63.44% ( -0.2) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.77% ( 0.09) | 9.23% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.77% ( 0.21) | 31.23% ( -0.2) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.07% ( 0.01) | 50.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.71% ( 0.01) | 85.29% |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 75.39%
Pacos de Ferreira 8.7%
Draw 15.9%
| Porto | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 2-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.46% Total : 75.39% | 1-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 15.9% | 0-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 8.7% |
How you voted: Porto vs Pacos de Ferreira
Porto
94.0%Draw
6.0%Pacos de Ferreira
0.0%50
Form Guide
