Pacos de Ferreira0 - 1Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira will head into the weekend with renewed belief following their resilient performance against first-placed Benfica. We predict that the Pacenses will take the positives from last week's performance and claim a slender victory over Vitoria de Guimaraes, who have failed to win any of their last three away games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
33.6% ( -0.61) | 28.81% ( -0.22) | 37.58% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 45.27% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.72% ( 0.7) | 61.28% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.8% ( 0.52) | 81.2% ( -0.52) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( -0.05) | 34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.32% ( -0.06) | 70.68% ( 0.06) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.6% ( 0.88) | 31.4% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.23% ( 1) | 67.77% ( -1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.6% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.57% |
