Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 8, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 1
Guimaraes

Pires (11'), Djalo (53'), Antunes (61'), Ferigra (77'), Lima (86')
Antunes (90'), Lima (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Luz (9')
Amaro (25'), Bamba (45+2'), Safira (64'), Andre (74'), Freitas (88'), Silva (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Benfica
Saturday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Pacos de Ferreira will head into the weekend with renewed belief following their resilient performance against first-placed Benfica. We predict that the Pacenses will take the positives from last week's performance and claim a slender victory over Vitoria de Guimaraes, who have failed to win any of their last three away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
33.6% ( -0.61)	28.81% ( -0.22)	37.58% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 45.27% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.72% (

0.7)

61.28% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.8% (

0.52)

81.2% (

-0.52)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.99% (

-0.05)

34% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.32% (

-0.06)

70.68% (

0.06)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6% (

0.88)

31.4% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.23% (

67.77% (

-1)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 33.6%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 37.57%

Draw 28.8%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.6%	1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8%	0-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.57%