Pacos de Ferreira have endured a horrid start to the new campaign and will be desperate to end their losing streak. However, they face a Boavista side who have been dominant in the recent history of this fixture, claiming six wins and four draws from their last 10 encounters. We are backing the hosts to extend this solid record and come away with a slender history, heaping more misery on the floundering Pacenses.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boavista.
0.3) 
-0.01) 
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