Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 2, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 1
Arouca

Gaitan (61')
Pires (11'), Antunes (28'), Ibrahim (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dabbagh (84')
Antony (74'), Esgaio (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Arouca

While Pacos de Ferreira have endured a horrid start to the campaign, we are backing them to take the positives from their performance against Santa Clara when they face an Arouca side who have suffered a slump in form. We are tipping the Pacenses to extend their dominance over the visitors and pick up their first win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Arouca
40.33% ( -0.56)	28.1% ( -0.09)	31.58% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 46.83% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.86% (

0.47)

59.14% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.43% (

0.37)

79.58% (

-0.36)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

-0.09)

28.72% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

-0.11)

64.55% (

0.11)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.7% (

0.73)

34.31% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29% (

0.77)

71.01% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 40.32%

Arouca 31.58%

Draw 28.1%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.68% Total : 40.32%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.1%	0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.28% Total : 31.58%