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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Braga

Arouca
0 - 6
Braga


Fernandes (6'), Simao (38'), Milovanov (39')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Banza (1'), Horta (4', 40' pen.), Oliveira (44'), Castro (67'), Lainez (76')
Medeiros (19'), Elmusrati (21'), Lainez (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

Last Six:
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

Last Six:
Last Game: Braga 5-0 Maritimo
Sunday, August 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-2 Braga

 Off the back of victories over Gil Vicente and Santa Clara, Arouca will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence as they look to end their poor streak against the visitors. However, Braga possess the firepower to get the desired result this weekend and we are tipping them to edge out the hosts once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.29%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBraga
24.73% (0.114 0.11) 25.98% (0.099999999999998 0.1) 49.29% (-0.214 -0.21)
Both teams to score 48.67% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.27% (-0.287 -0.29)54.73% (0.287 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95% (-0.238 -0.24)76.04% (0.238 0.24)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.58% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)37.41% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.8% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)74.2% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (-0.212 -0.21)22.24% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.33% (-0.322 -0.32)55.67% (0.323 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 24.73%
    Braga 49.29%
    Draw 25.97%
AroucaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.02% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.73%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 12.5% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.4% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 49.29%

How you voted: Arouca vs Braga

Arouca
16.1%
Draw
16.1%
Braga
67.7%
31
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 6pm
Braga
1-0
Arouca
Horta (87')

Nunes (84')
Dec 30, 2021 7pm
Arouca
0-6
Braga

Valderrama (9'), Evangelista (45+4')
Oliveira (5', 12', 26'), Medeiros (71' pen.), Fernandes (74', 80')
Couto (54'), Mineiro (72')
Mar 4, 2017 4pm
Braga
3-1
Arouca
Fonte (12', 69'), Battaglia (73')
Vukcevic (53')
Mateus (17')
Kuca (15'), Valente (27'), Gonzalez (75'), Nelsinho (83')
Oct 2, 2016 8.15pm
Arouca
1-1
Braga
Gonzalez (85')
Valente (11'), Carleto (28'), Crivellaro (92')
Santos (49')
Djavan (22'), Rosic (39'), Matheus (84')
Feb 27, 2016 6.30pm
Arouca
0-0
Braga

Adilson (54'), Gege (56'), Bernardes (84')

Augusto Carvalho Souza (40'), Santos (56')
Fonte (57'), Djavan (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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