MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 20:25:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Arouca

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Arouca


Baro (65'), Fernandes (90+1')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Casa Pia
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-6 Braga
Sunday, August 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-1 Arouca

Casa Pia have enjoyed a fine start to their top-flight campaign and this has been owing to the solid job done at the defensive end of the pitch. Arouca, meanwhile, will be looking to regroup and get their season back on track following their disappointing loss against Braga. We predict a cagey affair at the National Sports Center of Jamor, with both sides settling for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawArouca
41.66% (1.624 1.62) 28.48% (0.359 0.36) 29.86% (-1.988 -1.99)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-1.699 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.07% (-1.783 -1.78)60.93% (1.779 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06% (-1.356 -1.36)80.94% (1.354 1.35)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.051000000000002 0.05)28.83% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.066000000000003 0.07)64.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (-2.435 -2.44)36.55% (2.433 2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (-2.535 -2.54)73.34% (2.532 2.53)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 41.65%
    Arouca 29.85%
    Draw 28.47%
Casa PiaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 13.1% (0.87 0.87)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.552 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.233 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 41.65%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.53% (0.675 0.67)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.266 -0.27)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.47%
0-1 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.438 -0.44)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.361 -0.36)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 29.85%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Arouca

Casa Pia
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Arouca
0.0%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!