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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Maritimo

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 1
Maritimo


Djalo (55'), Butzke (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Andres Ramirez (28')
Costa (72'), Afonso (74'), Beltrame (90+1'), Costa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, October 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Maritimo

Pacos de Ferreira and Maritimo have endured a gruesome start to the season and currently sit in the bottom two places in the league standings. Both sides head into the weekend in similar form and we predict that the spoils will be shared between the evenly-matched teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawMaritimo
45.8% (0.095999999999997 0.1) 27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 27.2% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 47.77% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.11% (0.076999999999998 0.08)56.89% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19% (0.063000000000002 0.06)77.81% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (0.081999999999994 0.08)24.79% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (0.11199999999999 0.11)59.37% (-0.11 -0.11)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)36.48% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73% (-0.012 -0.01)73.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 45.8%
    Maritimo 27.2%
    Draw 27%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 12.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 45.8%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 27.2%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Maritimo

Pacos de Ferreira
63.6%
Draw
29.5%
Maritimo
6.8%
44
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3.30pm
Nov 28, 2021 3.30pm
Maritimo
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Joel (49'), Beltrame (78')
Rossi (38'), Mendes (90+4')

Delgado (35'), Santos (66'), de Brito Gonzaga (77')
May 9, 2021 3pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-1
Maritimo
Carlos (12')
Tanque (83'), Fonseca (88'), Costa (90+1')
Joel (40')
Bambock (84')
Jan 24, 2021 3pm
Maritimo
0-3
Pacos de Ferreira

Africo (38'), Bambock (40')
Costa (29'), Carlos (48'), Singh (85')
Fonseca (43'), Ferreira (61'), Singh (77')
Feb 16, 2020 3pm
Maritimo
3-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Junior (21'), Nanu (54', 87')
Costa (41'), Xadas (43')

Reabciuk (20'), Diaby-Fadiga (25'), Eustaquio (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Benfica75111751216
3Porto6501123915
4Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
6FamalicaoFamalicao632183511
7Braga632184411
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
11AVS6213610-47
12Gil Vicente7142712-57
13AroucaArouca620438-56
14Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
16Estrela Amadora7124510-55
17Nacional6114412-84
18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110


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