Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 4, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara
2 - 1
Maritimo

Allano (52' pen.), Babi (60')
Henrique (39'), Boateng (77'), Carvalho (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Xadas (36')
Mendes (15'), Joel (54'), Mosquera (57'), Brito (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Santa Clara 1-1 Maritimo

Santa Clara and Maritimo have staggered into the new season and will head into the weekend desperate to pick up their first league victory. However, we predict that both evenly-matched sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Maritimo
54.34% ( -0.98)	24.44% ( 0.24)	21.22% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 49.15% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.94% (

-0.1)

52.06% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.21% (

-0.08)

73.79% (

0.08)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.92% (

-0.41)

19.08% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.31% (

-0.69)

50.69% (

0.69)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.73% (

0.72)

39.27% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.03% (

0.66)

75.97% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 54.33%

Maritimo 21.22%

Draw 24.44%

Santa Clara	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 54.33%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 7% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.22%