Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
0 - 1
Portimonense

Moreno (29'), China (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Junior (43')
Junior (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Maritimo 0-2 Portimonense

After their opening-day defeat against Boavista, Portimonense have bounced back in style, winning their subsequent two outings. They head into the weekend full of confidence and we predict that they will make light work of a Maritimo side who are yet to find their feet this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Portimonense
40.9% ( -0.45)	28.89% ( -0.02)	30.21% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 44.21% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.82% (

0.19)

62.18% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.13% (

0.14)

81.87% (

-0.14)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

-0.16)

29.87% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.03% (

-0.2)

65.96% (

0.2)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.04% (

0.46)

36.96% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.25% (

0.46)

73.75% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Maritimo 40.9%

Portimonense 30.2%

Draw 28.88%

Maritimo	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 40.9%	1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.88%	0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.82% Total : 30.2%