Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Oct 17, 2020 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 2
Portimonense

Pinho (51' pen.)
Pinho (14'), Kibe (43'), Winck (87'), Jean (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dener (69'), Oliveira (74')
Sa (82')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Portimonense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Portimonense
29.82%	28.17%	42.01%

Both teams to score 45.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.12%

59.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.86%

80.14%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99%

36.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.21%

72.79%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87%

28.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.19%

63.81%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 29.82%

Portimonense 42%

Draw 28.17%

Maritimo	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.96% Total : 29.82%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.17%	0-1 @ 12.84% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.73% Total : 42%