Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
We said: Famalicao 2-1 Santa Clara
Sunday's game sees two sides who have stumbled into the new season go head to head and we expect them to go all out against each other in search of their first league win. However, Santa Clara have struggled for results on the road and we predict that Famalicao will make use of their home advantage to claim a slender victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.07% . A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.93% .
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.23%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%) , while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.21%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result Famalicao Draw Santa Clara 49.07% ( -0.2) 26.01% ( -0.04) 24.93% ( 0.25)
Both teams to score 48.78% ( 0.35)
45.32% ( 0.34) 54.68% ( -0.34)
24% ( 0.28) 76% ( -0.28)
77.68% ( 0.05) 22.32% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.21% ( 0.08) 55.79% ( -0.07)
62.79% ( 0.41) 37.21% ( -0.4)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.01% ( 0.4) 73.99% ( -0.4)
Famalicao 49.06%
Santa Clara 24.93%
Draw 26%
Famalicao Draw Santa Clara 1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.06% 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26% 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.73% Total : 24.93%
How you voted: Famalicao vs Santa Clara
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rhs 2.0
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