Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 28, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
1 - 0
Santa Clara

Youssouf (20')
Kadile (45+2'), Mihaj (84'), Moura (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Henrique (15'), Pereira (45+2'), Sagna (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

Last Six:

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Famalicao
Monday, August 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Rio Ave	3	-4	1
16	Famalicao	3	-5	1
17	Pacos de Ferreira	3	-7	0

We said: Famalicao 2-1 Santa Clara

Sunday's game sees two sides who have stumbled into the new season go head to head and we expect them to go all out against each other in search of their first league win. However, Santa Clara have struggled for results on the road and we predict that Famalicao will make use of their home advantage to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Santa Clara
49.07% ( -0.2)	26.01% ( -0.04)	24.93% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 48.78% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.32% (

0.34)

54.68% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24% (

0.28)

76% (

-0.28)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.68% (

0.05)

22.32% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.21% (

0.08)

55.79% (

-0.07)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.79% (

0.41)

37.21% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.01% (

0.4)

73.99% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 49.06%

Santa Clara 24.93%

Draw 26%

Famalicao	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.06%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.73% Total : 24.93%