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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Famalicao logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Famalicao
2 - 1
Pacos de Ferreira

Kadile (20'), Moura (46')
Youssouf (41'), Luis Rodriguez (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Thomas (23')
Pires (31'), Antunes (64'), Toma (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 4-1 Famalicao
Monday, October 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, October 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Famalicao 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

Buoyed by their cup victory, Famalicao will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to surge from the wrong end of the league table. The Vila Nova take on a Pacos de Ferreira side who have endured a disastrous start to the season and we predict that they will do just enough to leave with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.

Result
FamalicaoDrawPacos de Ferreira
53.66% (0.077999999999996 0.08) 25.77% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 20.58% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.61% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (0.080000000000005 0.08)57.61% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (0.062000000000001 0.06)78.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (0.066000000000003 0.07)21.56% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.37% (0.1 0.1)54.63% (-0.1 -0.1)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.87%43.13% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 53.64%
    Pacos de Ferreira 20.58%
    Draw 25.76%
FamalicaoDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 14.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 53.64%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.58%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Pacos de Ferreira

Famalicao
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Pacos de Ferreira
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 6.30pm
Famalicao
0-0
Pacos de Ferreira

Penetra (26'), Alex (67'), Batubinsika (90+3')
Penetra (69')

de Brito Gonzaga (33'), Diaby-Fadiga (74'), Eustaquio (77')
Aug 8, 2021 8.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
2-0
Famalicao
Da Silva de Jesus (49'), Santos (50')
Djalo (82'), Carlos (90+3')

Figueiras (78'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (85'), Verdonk (87'), Riccieli (90+5')
Apr 4, 2021 8pm
Famalicao
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Silva (41'), Jaime (64')
Valenzuela (77'), Riccieli (90+5')

de Brito Gonzaga (49'), Ferreira (79'), Costa (85'), Eustaquio (90+3'), Ibrahim (90+7')
Ibrahim (90+7')
Nov 27, 2020 7pm
Pacos de Ferreira
2-0
Famalicao
Singh (20'), Uilton (88')
Costa (22'), Tanque (33'), Ferreira (69'), Reabciuk (80')

Babic (16'), Verdonk (70'), Jordao (83'), Assuncao (90+3')
Feb 23, 2020 3pm
Pacos de Ferreira
2-1
Famalicao
Uilton (71'), Denilson (79')
Marcelo (33'), Eustaquio (62'), Pedrinho (67'), Castanheira (75'), Denilson (79')
Martinez (89')
Centelles (55'), Goncalves (74'), Assuncao (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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