Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
53.66% (![]() | 25.77% (![]() | 20.58% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.39% (![]() | 57.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.62% (![]() | 78.38% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% (![]() | 21.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% (![]() | 54.63% (![]() |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.87% | 43.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.6% (![]() | 79.4% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 14.26% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.94% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.21% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.81% ( ![]() Other @ 3% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 11.99% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.3% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.87% ( ![]() Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.82% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 52 |
2 | Benfica | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 50 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 24 |
13 | Nacional | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |