Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
1 - 0
Famalicao

Bolgado (60')
Taira (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pele (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, September 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Santa Clara	7	-3	5
16	Famalicao	6	-6	4
17	Pacos de Ferreira	7	-10	1

We said: Casa Pia 2-1 Famalicao

Casa Pia have kicked off their top-flight campaign on a solid note and head into the weekend as slight favourites to claim the desired results. Martin's side take on a Famalicao side who have struggled to grind out results on the road and we predict they will come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 35.6%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Casa Pia.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Famalicao
35.6% ( 2.15)	29.67% ( 1.02)	34.73% ( -3.16)

Both teams to score 43.03% (

-2.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.95% (

-3.29)

64.05% (

3.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.78% (

-2.41)

83.22% (

2.41)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89% (

-0.28)

34.11% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2% (

-0.3)

70.8% (

0.3)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.3% (

-3.75)

34.7% (

3.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.57% (

-4.19)

71.43% (

4.19)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 35.6%

Famalicao 34.72%

Draw 29.66%

Casa Pia	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 12.73% ( 1.39) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.6%	1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 11.83% ( 1.37) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.4) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.66%	0-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.67) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.57) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.54) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.48) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.3) Other @ 2.23% Total : 34.72%