Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Boavista |
30.84% ( 0.45) | 26.99% ( 0.41) | 42.17% ( -0.86) |
Both teams to score 49.79% ( -1.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.73% ( -1.43) | 55.27% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.51% ( -1.19) | 76.49% ( 1.19) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.19% ( -0.41) | 32.81% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.62% ( -0.46) | 69.38% ( 0.46) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% ( -1.09) | 25.89% ( 1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.12% ( -1.5) | 60.88% ( 1.5) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.84% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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