Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
29.35% ( 0.01) | 26.35% ( 0) | 44.3% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.01% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.64% ( -0.01) | 53.36% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.1% ( -0.01) | 74.9% ( 0.01) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.09% ( 0) | 32.91% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.51% ( 0) | 69.49% ( -0) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.04% ( -0.01) | 23.96% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.8% ( -0.02) | 58.2% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.35% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Benfica | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
12 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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