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Sporting Lisbon
Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Dec 19, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
 
Braga

Sporting Lisbon
5 - 0
Braga

Inacio (4'), Paulinho (7'), Goncalves (20' pen.), Trincao (41'), Edwards (45+4' pen.)
Porro (23'), Essugo (77'), Alexandropoulos (87')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Silva (3'), Tormena (18'), Elmusrati (32')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Quarter-Finals clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Maritimo
Tuesday, December 13 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Braga

All competitions
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Sunday, December 11 at 7pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Braga had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
45.44% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 24.92% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 29.64% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.71% (0.196 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (0.242 0.24)47.32% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (0.223 0.22)69.54% (-0.22099999999999 -0.22)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (0.091000000000008 0.09)20.87% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.43% (0.14 0.14)53.57% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.169 0.17)29.59% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (0.205 0.2)65.63% (-0.20299999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 45.44%
    Braga 29.64%
    Draw 24.92%
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 45.44%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 29.64%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Braga

Sporting Lisbon
77.3%
Draw
9.1%
Braga
13.6%
44
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Braga
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Banza (14'), Niakate (45+1'), Ruiz (88')
Niakate (22'), Elmusrati (24')
Goncalves (9'), Santos (18'), Edwards (83')
Nunes (68'), Goncalves (74')
Jan 22, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Braga
Goncalves (24')
Sarabia (45'), Coates (51'), Nunes (90+1')
Galeno (52' pen.), Gorby (90+7')
Castro (57'), Ruiz (90+2'), Hornicek (90+7'), Magalhaes (90+9')
Aug 14, 2021 8.30pm
Braga
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Ruiz (90+2')
Silva (22'), Fransergio (37'), Galeno (69')
Cabral (40'), Goncalves (50')
Coates (57'), Reis (70'), Adan (90+4')
Reis (80')
Jul 31, 2021 8.45pm
Final
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Braga
Cabral (29'), Goncalves (43')
Palhinha (17'), Goncalves (44'), Nunes (49')
Fransergio (20')
Fransergio (45+2'), Tormena (62'), Sequeira (87'), Novais (90+1')
Apr 25, 2021 8pm
Braga
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Fransergio (17'), Gaitan (64'), Horta (78'), Esgaio (90+4')
Nunes (81')
Inacio (10'), Tomas (77'), Goncalves (90+5'), Adan (90+6')
Inacio (18')
rhs 2.0
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