Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.