Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 22, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 2
Braga

Serginho (69'), Ndiaye (81'), Carlos (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
Gomes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Estoril
Friday, October 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Union SG 3-3 Braga
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Braga

Fresh off the back of ending their four-game winless run, Braga will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to put together a fine run of form. However, they face a spirited Estoril Praia side who have picked up three wins and two draws in their last five matches across all competitions. We predict that the hosts will do just enough to frustrate Braga and force a share of the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Braga
18.19% ( 0.12)	22.87% ( 0.26)	58.95% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 49.08% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.31% (

-0.9)

49.68% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.3% (

-0.81)

71.7% (

0.81)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.79% (

-0.39)

41.2% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.26% (

-0.35)

77.74% (

0.34)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.47% (

-0.45)

16.53% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.72% (

-0.81)

46.27% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 18.19%

Braga 58.93%

Draw 22.86%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.95% Total : 18.19%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.86%	0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 11.03% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.62% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.96% Total : 58.93%