Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.