Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 30, 2022 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
3 - 0
Benfica

Ruiz (2'), Horta (32', 70')
Horta (78'), Jorge (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Luis (27'), Silva (85'), Otamendi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Monday, December 19 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Saturday, December 17 at 7pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Off the back of their shock cup exit, Benfica will be looking to make an immediate positive reaction by closing out the year with a win. While we expect Braga to put up a fight, As Aguias boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to claim all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Benfica
15.54% ( 0.91)	21.42% ( 0.81)	63.04% ( -1.72)

Both teams to score 48.16% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.9% (

-1.67)

48.1% (

1.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.74% (

-1.55)

70.26% (

1.55)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.42% (

0.24)

43.58% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.22% (

0.2)

79.78% (

-0.2)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.36% (

-1.06)

14.64% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.23% (

-2.08)

42.77% (

2.08)

Score Analysis

Braga 15.54%

Benfica 63.02%

Draw 21.42%

Braga	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 15.54%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.42%	0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 11.77% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.54% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 6.27% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.37% Total : 63.02%