Benfica3 - 1Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, November 9 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Tuesday, November 8 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
for
We said: Benfica 3-1 Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente are in for a tough 90 minutes against a Benfica side who are currently firing on all cylinders and have enjoyed a stellar campaign so far. Given the gulf in quality and the contrasting form of both sides, we are backing As Aguias to come away with a comfortable victory in front of their home fans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.74%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
77.74% ( -0.01) | 13.25% ( 0) | 9% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.41% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.98% ( -0.01) | 26.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.76% ( -0.01) | 46.24% ( 0.01) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.61% ( -0) | 5.39% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 78.87% ( -0.01) | 21.13% ( 0.01) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.68% | 39.32% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.98% ( 0) | 76.02% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0)3-1 @ 8.21% 4-0 @ 6.43% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 6% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.83% 5-0 @ 3.75% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.5% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.8% 6-0 @ 1.83% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 5.58% Total : 77.74% | 1-1 @ 5.78% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.94% 0-0 @ 2.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.23% Total : 13.25% | 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.23% 0-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 9% |
