Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Estoril0 - 1Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 1-5 Benfica
Sunday, November 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, November 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Estoril 1-5 Benfica
Sunday, November 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, November 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Estoril Praia 0-3 Benfica
While Estoril Praia will be looking to get one over Benfica, As Aguias head into the midweek clash firing on all cylinders and unbeaten in 29 consecutive games. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we anticipate that Benfica will come away with a comfortable victory on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 83.68%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 5.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 0-4 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Benfica |
5.43% ( 0.1) | 10.89% ( 0.12) | 83.68% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.09% ( -0.11) | 28.91% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.14% ( -0.14) | 49.86% ( 0.14) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.02% ( 0.27) | 50.98% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.67% ( 0.18) | 85.33% ( -0.18) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.04% ( -0.06) | 4.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 80.16% ( -0.17) | 19.84% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia 5.43%
Benfica 83.67%
Draw 10.89%
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 5.43% | 1-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 10.89% | 0-3 @ 11.42% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 11.4% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 8.58% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 7.7% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 5.16% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)0-6 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.17% ( 0)0-7 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.76% Total : 83.67% |
How you voted: Estoril vs Benfica
Estoril Praia
11.4%Draw
2.9%Benfica
85.7%35
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2021 8.15pm
