Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 26, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica2 - 0Penafiel
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-3 Benfica
Sunday, November 20 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Sunday, November 20 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Penafiel 1-2 Moreirense
Thursday, November 17 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Thursday, November 17 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
We said: Benfica 3-1 Penafiel
Benfica are currently firing on all cylinders and head into the weekend on a run of nine consecutive victories in all competitions. As Aguias take on a struggling Penafiel side who have failed to win six of their last seven outings and we predict they will cruise to a comfortable victory on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 88.2%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 3.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 4-0 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.04%), while for a Penafiel win it was 0-1 (1.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Penafiel |
88.2% ( -0.06) | 8.49% ( 0.03) | 3.3% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 39.05% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
