Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 17, 2022 at 7pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense1 - 1Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 4-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, November 27 at 5pm in Taca da Liga
Sunday, November 27 at 5pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Penafiel
Saturday, November 26 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, November 26 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
We said: Moreirense 1-2 Benfica
Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, Benfica head into the weekend as firm favourites to come away with all three points. However, Moreirense have been near impenetrable on home turf this season and will be backing themselves to cause an upset. While we expect Alves' men to give As Aguias a run for their money on Saturday, the Primeira Liga side possess the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to claim a slender victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
15.6% ( 2.8) | 21.89% ( 0.87) | 62.51% ( -3.67) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( 4.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( 1.92) | 49.91% ( -1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( 1.69) | 71.9% ( -1.69) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.39% ( 5.34) | 44.6% ( -5.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.38% ( 4.01) | 80.61% ( -4.01) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% ( -0.54) | 15.41% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.77% ( -1.02) | 44.23% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Moreirense 15.6%
Benfica 62.51%
Draw 21.88%
| Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.78)2-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.3)Other @ 1.44% Total : 15.6% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.55) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.55)2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.67)Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 12.85% ( -1.3) 0-2 @ 12.02% ( -1.46)1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.34)0-3 @ 7.49% ( -1.08)1-3 @ 6.05% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.58)1-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.38)0-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.25)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.16)1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 62.51% |
How you voted: Moreirense vs Benfica
Moreirense
12.5%Draw
12.5%Benfica
75.0%16
Form Guide
