Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 15, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica2 - 2Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Varzim 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Tuesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, January 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Benfica 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
With the disappointment from Sunday's defeat still lingering in the air, Sporting Lisbon will head into the weekend looking to make an immediate reaction. However, they take on a Benfica side who have been near impenetrable on home turf, where they have won each of their seven league matches this season. While we anticipate an end-to-end and thrilling contest, we predict that As Aguias will find a way and come out victorious in front of their home fans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
53.56% ( 1.33) | 21.98% ( 0.06) | 24.45% ( -1.39) |
| Both teams to score 61.34% ( -1.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.14% ( -1.66) | 37.86% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.88% ( -1.8) | 60.12% ( 1.79) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% ( -0.15) | 14.23% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.03% ( -0.29) | 41.97% ( 0.29) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% ( -1.94) | 28.48% ( 1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.75% ( -2.5) | 64.25% ( 2.5) |
| Score Analysis |
Benfica 53.56%
Sporting Lisbon 24.45%
Draw 21.98%
| Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.57)2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.45% Total : 53.56% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.24)0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.45% Total : 24.45% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon
Benfica
71.4%Draw
15.6%Sporting Lisbon
13.0%77
Form Guide
