Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 15, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Ramos (37', 64')
Otamendi (5'), Silva (41')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bah (27'), Goncalves (53' pen.)
Goncalves (45+3'), Trincao (46'), Ugarte (61'), St Juste (86'), Chermiti (88'), Chermiti (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Varzim 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, January 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Benfica 2-1 Sporting Lisbon

With the disappointment from Sunday's defeat still lingering in the air, Sporting Lisbon will head into the weekend looking to make an immediate reaction. However, they take on a Benfica side who have been near impenetrable on home turf, where they have won each of their seven league matches this season. While we anticipate an end-to-end and thrilling contest, we predict that As Aguias will find a way and come out victorious in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
53.56% ( 1.33)	21.98% ( 0.06)	24.45% ( -1.39)

Both teams to score 61.34% (

-1.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.14% (

-1.66)

37.86% (

1.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.88% (

-1.8)

60.12% (

1.79)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.77% (

-0.15)

14.23% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.03% (

-0.29)

41.97% (

0.29)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52% (

-1.94)

28.48% (

1.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75% (

-2.5)

64.25% (

2.5)

Score Analysis

Benfica 53.56%

Sporting Lisbon 24.45%

Draw 21.98%

Benfica	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.45% Total : 53.56%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.98%	1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.45% Total : 24.45%