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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 29, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Porro (3'), Santos (22'), Paulinho (44')
Goncalves (68')
Essugo (82')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ferigra (24'), Gaitan (30'), Djalo (78'), Holsgrove (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira

Sporting Lisbon will be licking their lips ahead of Thursday's game as they go up against league strugglers Pacos de Ferreira, who are looking more likely to drop to the second tier as the season goes by. Amorim's put together a superb run of form during the World Cup break and we are backing them to claim a comfortable victory in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 84.11%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 4.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.85%) and 1-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.29%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawPacos de Ferreira
84.11% (0.119 0.12) 11.14% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06) 4.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 39.85% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)34.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.18% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02)5.88% (-0.022 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.46% (0.061999999999998 0.06)22.54% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.34% (-0.235 -0.23)57.66% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.59% (-0.13 -0.13)89.41% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 84.1%
    Pacos de Ferreira 4.75%
    Draw 11.14%
Sporting LisbonDrawPacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 13.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 12.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 9.11% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 5.16% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 2.44% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
7-0 @ 0.99% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 84.1%
1-1 @ 5.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.39%
2-2 @ 2.06% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 11.14%
0-1 @ 1.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 4.75%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Pacos de Ferreira

Sporting Lisbon
96.4%
Draw
0.0%
Pacos de Ferreira
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Sarabia (20' pen.), Santos (72')
Palhinha (45+4'), Sarabia (58')

Ferreira (18'), Baixinho (53'), Antunes (56'), Delgado (87')
Nov 7, 2021 7pm
Feb 15, 2021 8.15pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Mario (20' pen.), Palhinha (48')
Mendes (8'), Feddal (14'), Porro (54'), Adan (75'), Cabral (88')

Baixinho (13'), Rebocho (19'), Tanque (22')
Sep 27, 2020 6.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Tanque (21'), Eustaquio (74')
Cabral (23' pen.), Coates (63')
Neto (10'), Cabral (25'), Wendel (36'), Adan (45+3'), Nunes (80'), Feddal (84')
Jun 12, 2020 9.15pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Cabral (64')
Nunes (57'), Henrique (75')

Diaby-Fadiga (62'), Carlos (75'), (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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