Sporting Lisbon3 - 1Casa Pia
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Sunday, October 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Casa Pia
While Sporting Lisbon will be looking to arrest their slump, they face the stern challenge of taking on a spirited Casa Pia side who have enjoyed a stellar return to the top flight. However, Amorim's side boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we predict that they will make use of their home advantage to claim a slender victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
61.79% ( -0.02) | 21.13% ( 0) | 17.08% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.86% ( 0.01) | 44.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.48% ( 0) | 66.52% ( -0.01) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.25% ( -0.01) | 13.75% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.97% ( -0.01) | 41.02% ( 0.01) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.76% ( 0.02) | 39.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.05% ( 0.02) | 75.94% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 7.03% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% 5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 61.79% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.13% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 17.08% |
