Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 22, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 1
Casa Pia

Paulinho (57'), Santos (59'), Goncalves (65' pen.)
Inacio (23'), Porro (46')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Clayton (43')
Godwin (23'), Clayton (37'), Kunimoto (45'), Brice Eteki (63'), Vito (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Vizela
Sunday, October 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Casa Pia

While Sporting Lisbon will be looking to arrest their slump, they face the stern challenge of taking on a spirited Casa Pia side who have enjoyed a stellar return to the top flight. However, Amorim's side boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we predict that they will make use of their home advantage to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Casa Pia
61.79% ( -0.02)	21.13% ( 0)	17.08% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.41% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.86% (

0.01)

44.14% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.48% (

66.52% (

-0.01)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.25% (

-0.01)

13.75% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.97% (

-0.01)

41.02% (

0.01)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.76% (

0.02)

39.24% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.05% (

0.02)

75.94% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 61.79%

Casa Pia 17.08%

Draw 21.13%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 7.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 61.79%	1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.13%	0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 17.08%