Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
0 - 2
Marseille

Esgaio (16'), Ugarte (54'), Goncalves (60'), Porro (74')
Esgaio (19'), Goncalves (60')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Guendouzi (20' pen.), Sanchez (30')
Guendouzi (8'), Bailly (43')

Matteo Guendouzi, Alexis Sanchez on target as Marseille beat nine-man Sporting Lisbon

Matteo Guendouzi and Alexis Sanchez are both on target to help Marseille record a 2-0 away victory against nine-man Sporting Lisbon in the Champions League this evening.

Oct 12, 22:02

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Ajaccio
Saturday, October 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Marseille

While Marseille will be looking to boost their hopes of a place in the knockout stages with successive victories, they face a Sporting Lisbon side who are on a fine run of form in front of their home fans. We predict that the Primeira Liga side, who have won their last three home matches, will build on last weekend's result over Santa Clara and claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.53%) and 3-2 (4.83%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Marseille
44.61% ( -0.05)	21.25% ( -0.03)	34.13% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 71.5% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.41% (

0.19)

27.59% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.77% (

0.24)

48.23% (

-0.24)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.61% (

0.06)

13.39% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.69% (

0.12)

40.3% (

-0.12)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.55% (

0.13)

17.44% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.09% (

0.22)

47.9% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 44.61%

Marseille 34.13%

Draw 21.25%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 44.61%	1-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.25%	1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.13%