Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon0 - 2Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Ajaccio
Saturday, October 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, October 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Marseille
While Marseille will be looking to boost their hopes of a place in the knockout stages with successive victories, they face a Sporting Lisbon side who are on a fine run of form in front of their home fans. We predict that the Primeira Liga side, who have won their last three home matches, will build on last weekend's result over Santa Clara and claim a slender victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.53%) and 3-2 (4.83%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Marseille |
44.61% ( -0.05) | 21.25% ( -0.03) | 34.13% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 71.5% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
