Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Jan 8, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

Winck (55' pen.)
Brito (60'), Vidigal (85'), Mosquera (87'), Carne (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Edwards (11'), Esgaio (72'), Porro (81'), Paulinho (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Maritimo
Friday, December 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Thursday, December 29 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Maritimo 0-2 Sporting Lisbon

The away side come into this clash in great form, while Maritimo's home record this season leaves a lot to be desired. We think the hosts will struggle to contain Sporting Lisbon here, and the Leoes will have too much firepower for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
14.3% ( 0.07)	20.11% ( 0.04)	65.58% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 49.32% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.04% (

-0.01)

44.96% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.69% (

-0.01)

67.31% (

0.01)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.61% (

0.09)

43.39% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.38% (

0.08)

79.62% (

-0.08)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.12% (

-0.03)

12.88% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.72% (

-0.07)

39.28% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Maritimo 14.3%

Sporting Lisbon 65.57%

Draw 20.11%

Maritimo	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.3%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.11%	0-2 @ 11.73% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.7% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 65.57%