Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2023 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon2 - 1Vizela
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, January 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 3-0 Maritimo
Saturday, January 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Vizela
Even though Sporting have struggled away from home at times, they have made their home ground a fortress, winning six of their seven games at the Jose Alvalade Stadium. As such, there is no reason why they should not emerge as comfortable winners against a team that they are eight points clear of in the Primeira Liga table. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.06%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.17%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vizela |
75.06% ( 0.56) | 16.05% ( -0.3) | 8.89% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 44.88% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
