Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Porto had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Porto |
51.93% (![]() | 22.32% (![]() | 25.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.82% (![]() | 38.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.55% (![]() | 60.45% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.13% (![]() | 14.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.79% (![]() | 43.21% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% (![]() | 27.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.79% (![]() | 63.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Porto |
2-1 @ 9.6% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 4.12% Total : 51.93% | 1-1 @ 10.07% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.68% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 6.47% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 3.73% Total : 25.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |