Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
0 - 0
Inter Milan

(Inter Milan win 1-0 on aggregate)

Pepe (79'), Conceicao (90+7')
Pepe (90+7')

Darmian (33'), Dzeko (69'), Acerbi (89')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Porto 3-2 Estoril
Friday, March 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Inter Milan
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Inter Milan
38.68% ( -0.25)	24.5% ( 0.01)	36.82% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 59.57% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.68% (

-0.04)

43.31% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.29% (

-0.04)

65.71% (

0.04)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

-0.14)

22.34% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.18% (

-0.21)

55.82% (

0.21)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.71% (

0.1)

23.29% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.77% (

0.15)

57.23% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Porto 38.68%

Inter Milan 36.82%

Draw 24.5%

Porto	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.68%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5%	1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.82%