MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 08:08:12| >> :600:536648:536648:
Inter logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Siro
Porto

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Porto

Lukaku (86')
Dimarco (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Otavio (41'), Pepe (63'), Conceicao (90')

The Match

Match Report

Romelu Lukaku's late winner guides Inter Milan to a 1-0 victory over 10-man Porto in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Porto.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Porto could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 first leg against Inter Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Porto had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawPorto
41.23% (0.464 0.46) 27.39% (0.0010000000000012 0) 31.38% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 48.82% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (-0.132 -0.13)56.6% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (-0.106 -0.11)77.58% (0.104 0.1)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.193 0.19)27.01% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.248 0.25)62.37% (-0.249 -0.25)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (-0.401 -0.4)33.11% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (-0.444 -0.44)69.71% (0.443 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 41.22%
    Porto 31.38%
    Draw 27.38%
Inter MilanDrawPorto
1-0 @ 11.7% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.66% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.22%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 9.89% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.38%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Porto

Inter Milan
68.0%
Draw
12.1%
Porto
19.9%
629
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!