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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Porto

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 2
Porto

Chermiti (90+7')
Reis (42'), Ugarte (68'), Edwards (77'), Adan (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uribe (60'), Pepe (90+4')
Galeno (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, February 6 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Viseu 0-1 Porto
Wednesday, February 8 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Porto

 This will be an intriguing battle between a side very strong at home against a side who have been unbeatable for months now. Sporting have struggled to get the upper hand against the other two Portuguese giants this season though, so Porto may just have the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
31.59% (-0.324 -0.32) 26.29% (-0.104 -0.1) 42.12% (0.436 0.44)
Both teams to score 52.24% (0.225 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (0.343 0.34)52.27% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (0.294 0.29)73.97% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)30.75% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)67.01% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43% (0.378 0.38)24.57% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (0.524 0.52)59.06% (-0.518 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 31.59%
    Porto 42.11%
    Draw 26.29%
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.59%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 10.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.11%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Porto

Sporting Lisbon
27.8%
Draw
16.7%
Porto
55.6%
90
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Porto

Ugarte (32'), Paulinho (63'), Goncalves (67'), Reis (90+6')
Paulinho (72')
Eustaquio (10'), Marcano (86')
Pepe (63'), Wendell (67'), Borges (90+6')
Aug 20, 2022 8.30pm
Porto
3-0
Sporting Lisbon
Evanilson (42'), Uribe (78' pen.), Galeno (86' pen.)
Sanusi (41')

Ugarte (16'), Neto (40'), Morita (42'), Reis (76')
Porro (75')
Apr 21, 2022 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Porto
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Martinez (83')
Evanilson (31')

Porro (89')
Mar 2, 2022 8.45pm
Semi-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Porto
Sarabia (49')
Paulinho (33'), Adan (56'), Coates (57'), Slimani (90+1'), Reis (90+4'), Porro (90+8'), Amorim (90+8')
Taremi (59' pen.), Evanilson (64')
Marchesin (78'), Vitinha (80'), Pepe (90+3')
Feb 11, 2022 8.15pm
Porto
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Vieira (38'), Taremi (78')
Pepe (42'), Otavio (45'), Vieira (82'), Pepe (90+1')
Marchesin (90+10'), Pepe (90+10')
Paulinho (8'), Santos (34')
Reis (1'), Coates (27'), Esgaio (45'), Paulinho (54'), Santos (63'), Palhinha (71')
Coates (49'), Tabata (90+10'), Palhinha (90+10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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