Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 28, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Porto5 - 1Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, December 21 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Wednesday, December 21 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-2 Arouca
Thursday, December 22 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Thursday, December 22 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
We said: Porto 3-1 Arouca
Off the back of a fine cup run to the semi-finals, Porto and Arouca will head into Wednesday looking to keep the juggernaut rolling and the momentum high. While the visitors have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a significantly superior and more experienced Porto side. With that said, we are backing Conceicao's side to extend their dominance in this fixture by claiming another victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 7.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.64%) and 3-0 (11.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Arouca |
76.6% ( -0.02) | 15.77% ( 0) | 7.62% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.98% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
