MX23RW : Friday, November 22 07:21:06| >> :60:1311:1311:
Arouca
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 4, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Leixoes

Arouca
1 - 1
Leixoes

Dabbagh (8')
Sylla (30'), Simao (38'), Galovic (64')
De Arruabarrena (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arley (76')
Zag (45'), Ferreira (52')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Arouca and Leixoes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Feirense
Friday, November 18 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 2-1 Santa Clara
Wednesday, November 23 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Leixoes win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawLeixoes
51.79% (-0.123 -0.12) 24.73% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 23.48% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 51.08% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.08% (0.163 0.16)50.91% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.21% (0.144 0.14)72.79% (-0.143 -0.14)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (0.012 0.01)19.65% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (0.024000000000001 0.02)51.61% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Leixoes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (0.212 0.21)36.43% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.78% (0.214 0.21)73.22% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 51.78%
    Leixoes 23.48%
    Draw 24.73%
AroucaDrawLeixoes
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.48% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 51.78%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 23.48%

How you voted: Arouca vs Leixoes

Arouca
66.7%
Draw
25.0%
Leixoes
8.3%
12
rhs 2.0
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