Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2022 at 11am UK

Estádio do Mar

Leixoes
2 - 1
UD Oliveirense

Bruno (14'), Eduardo (88' pen.)
Erivaldo (24'), Freitas (38'), Meira (53'), Silva (64'), Eduardo (75'), Oliveira (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Serginho (52')
Duarte (58'), Ibrahima (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Leixoes and UD Oliveirense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leixoes

Last Game: Leixoes 3-1 Farense
Wednesday, November 9 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leixoes win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leixoes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leixoes would win this match.

Result
Leixoes	Draw	UD Oliveirense
44.41% ( 0.08)	25.21% ( -0.02)	30.38% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 55.17% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.79% (

0.03)

48.2% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.64% (

0.03)

70.36% (

-0.03)

Leixoes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29% (

0.05)

21.7% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.14% (

0.07)

54.86% (

-0.08)

UD Oliveirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47% (

-0.03)

29.53% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.45% (

-0.03)

65.55% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Leixoes 44.41%

UD Oliveirense 30.38%

Draw 25.21%

Leixoes	Draw	UD Oliveirense
1-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.41%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.38%