We said: Porto 3-1 Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente have done well to turn around their fortunes in recent weeks and will head into the midweek clash with renewed confidence. However, Porto have enjoyed the better of this fixture and are currently one of the most in-form sides in the division. We are backing Conceicao's side to come away with a comfortable victory on Wednesday, extending their dominance in the history of this fixture.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 3-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.