Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
0 - 1
Porto

Janvier (17'), Silva (57'), Luz (71'), Safira (87'), Amaro (90'), Nogueira (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mario (45+2')
Otavio (35'), Pepe (41'), Wendell (47'), Marcano (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-1 Guimaraes
Monday, January 16 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 4-1 Famalicao
Sunday, January 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-3 Porto

After accumulating 11 victories in 16 Primeira Liga matches this season, we can envision Porto culminating an end-to-end 90 minutes with a 12th success under their footballing belt come Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
14.09% ( -0.09)	20.82% ( -0.1)	65.09% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 46.52% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.59% (

0.23)

48.41% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.45% (

0.21)

70.55% (

-0.21)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.16% (

45.83% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.41% (

81.59% (

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.9% (

0.13)

14.1% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.28% (

0.26)

41.72% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 14.09%

Porto 65.09%

Draw 20.82%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.09%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.82%	0-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.1% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.97% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 65.09%