Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes0 - 0Rio Ave
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vizela 3-0 Guimaraes
Friday, December 30 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, December 30 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
14
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-1 Rio Ave
Rio Ave have put together a fine run of form heading into this weekend, but Vitoria de Guimaraes have only lost once at home so far this season, so there is not a lot to split the teams heading into this clash. We think the spoils will be shared on Saturday in a closely-fought encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
50.06% ( 0.48) | 26.53% ( -0.14) | 23.42% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 45.88% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.3% ( 0.22) | 57.7% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.54% ( 0.17) | 78.46% ( -0.18) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( 0.31) | 23.15% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.97% ( 0.46) | 57.03% ( -0.46) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.71% ( -0.2) | 40.29% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.08% ( -0.18) | 76.92% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.05%
Rio Ave 23.42%
Draw 26.52%
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.32% Total : 23.42% |
How you voted: Guimaraes vs Rio Ave
Vitoria de Guimaraes
40.0%Draw
60.0%Rio Ave
0.0%10
Form Guide
