Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Jan 7, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
0 - 0
Rio Ave

Amaro (52'), Maga (56'), Bamba (90+3')

Acevedo (43'), Pantalon (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 3-0 Guimaraes
Friday, December 30 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Maritimo
Friday, December 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-1 Rio Ave

Rio Ave have put together a fine run of form heading into this weekend, but Vitoria de Guimaraes have only lost once at home so far this season, so there is not a lot to split the teams heading into this clash. We think the spoils will be shared on Saturday in a closely-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Rio Ave
50.06% ( 0.48)	26.53% ( -0.14)	23.42% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 45.88% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.3% (

0.22)

57.7% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.54% (

0.17)

78.46% (

-0.18)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85% (

0.31)

23.15% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97% (

0.46)

57.03% (

-0.46)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.71% (

-0.2)

40.29% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.08% (

-0.18)

76.92% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.05%

Rio Ave 23.42%

Draw 26.52%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.05%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 23.42%