Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 1, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes2 - 2Belenenses
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Belenenses.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vilafranquense 0-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, November 19 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, November 19 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Belenenses 2-3 Boavista
Friday, November 18 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Friday, November 18 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Belenenses |
50.56% ( 0.27) | 26.06% ( -0.05) | 23.38% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.1% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
