Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 30.37% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.53%).
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Nacional |
43.26% ( -0.02) | 26.37% ( 0) | 30.37% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.47% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.98% ( 0.01) | 53.02% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.39% ( 0) | 74.61% ( -0) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.67% ( -0.01) | 24.33% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.29% ( -0.01) | 58.71% ( 0.01) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( 0.02) | 31.99% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.56% ( 0.02) | 68.45% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.25% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |