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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Nacional

Estrela Amadora
vs.
Nacional

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Santa Clara
Monday, November 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Nacional

The hosts suffered a humiliating 5-1 loss last time out, while the visitors will be high on confidence following their 2-0 win, and we expect that to help Nacional secure another win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 30.37% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.53%).

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawNacional
43.26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 26.37% (0.00099999999999767 0) 30.37% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.98% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)53.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.39% (0.004999999999999 0)74.61% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-0.012 -0.01)58.71% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (0.019000000000005 0.02)31.99% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)68.45% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 43.25%
    Nacional 30.37%
    Draw 26.36%
Estrela AmadoraDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.25%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.37%

Who will win Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Nacional?

Estrela Amadora
Draw
Nacional
Estrela Amadora
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Nacional
33.3%
3
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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