Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 91.05%. A draw has a probability of 6.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 2.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 3-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 4-0 (11.61%) and 2-0 (11.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (3.14%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 0-1 (0.9%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
91.05% ( 0.77) | 6.61% ( -0.5) | 2.34% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 37.39% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.13% ( 0.84) | 23.86% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.58% ( 1.11) | 43.42% ( -1.11) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.01% ( 0.23) | 2.99% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.51% ( 0.81) | 13.49% ( -0.81) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
38.54% ( -1.14) | 61.45% ( 1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.62% ( -0.57) | 91.37% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
3-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.29) 6-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.34) 5-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.06) 7-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.22) 6-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) 7-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.07) 8-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.12) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 91.04% | 1-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.28% Total : 6.61% | Other @ 2.34% Total : 2.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 28 | 27 |
2 | Porto | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 24 |
3 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 19 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
9 | Casa Pia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
12 | AVS | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 9 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 7 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |