Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca0 - 3Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Porto
Saturday, August 31 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, August 31 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Arouca 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Despite the hiatus, any other outcome but a Sporting victory will be surprising, despite the threat of the international break possibly causing a dip in momentum. Regardless, Amorim's side should dispatch a struggling Arouca to continue their perfect start to this season's title defence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for an Arouca win it was 2-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
13.25% ( 0.08) | 18.15% ( 0.06) | 68.6% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
