Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon2 - 0Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farense 0-5 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, August 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, August 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
14
We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Porto
The last five meetings between the two teams have seen a combined 19 goals scored and we anticipate another action-packed contest this weekend. While both sides have flown out of the blocks this season, Sporting Lisbon's home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we fancy them to come away with the desired result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Porto had a probability of 22.66% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Porto |
57.49% ( -0.5) | 19.85% ( 0.1) | 22.66% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 67.05% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.52% ( 0.02) | 29.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.44% ( 0.02) | 50.56% ( -0.02) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.63% ( -0.12) | 10.36% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.15% ( -0.27) | 33.85% ( 0.26) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( 0.32) | 25.19% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.07% ( 0.44) | 59.93% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon 57.49%
Porto 22.66%
Draw 19.85%
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Porto |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.61% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.49% Total : 19.85% | 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 22.66% |
How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Porto
Sporting Lisbon
55.4%Draw
25.0%Porto
19.6%56
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 6pm
Form Guide
